Côte d’Ivoire is the third largest electricity market in West Africa and has historically been a net exporter of electricity with 11.8% of its total electricity generation sold to Mali, Burkina Faso, and Ghana in 2019 (ANARE-CI, 2020). 2.1.2. Future cost assumptions Fig. 2 presents the long-term cost assumption for our analysis.
As natural gas is the main source of electricity production in Côte d’Ivoire to date, we pay particular attention to its modeling. Its supply comes either from national gas reserves, via the West Africa Sub-Regional Gas Pipeline (WAGP), or from international gas reserves in the form of liquefied natural gas (LNG).
These aspects are left for further research. This coal-fired power plant is expected to be the first ever built in Côte d’Ivoire. Note that the implicit price of carbon for the other scenarios is not worth studying because they show CO 2 emissions in 2050 below the Paris Agreement target.
In the same period, annual consumption per capita went from 174 KWh to 277 KWh (AIE, 2014; A NARE-CI, 2017). However, as of 2014, per capita consumption in Côte d’Ivoire is 43% lower than the average for sub-Saharan Africa and 91% lower than the world average.
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