“What we found is that with the 60% tariff, the cost [of a turnkey energy storage system] increases by 60% compared to 2025, so this is quite a big cost jump if the US actually decided to do so,” Kikuma says.
That means costs in 2026 would return back to 2024 levels which could slow down the growth in US energy storage deployments, but the analyst says that even so, BNEF anticipates that the momentum of the country’s energy storage industry and growth in deployments would remain strong.
Tariffs rises were on the table for whichever candidate had won the election since Biden had, prior to stepping down from the race for Kamala Harris, announced a rise in Chinese battery import duties from 7.5% today to 25% beginning in 2026, and the industry was already making preparations for that.
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